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Real-Life Decision Making

You are on a ship heading for your destination somewhere in the Pacific Ocean, where you will spend seven weeks mapping the ocean floor and taking core and rock samples. You are two days out from Honolulu, Hawaii, before you realize a crucial piece of equipment, a magnetometer which you will need to take magnetic readings, is damaged.

You need a new piece of equipment, or you can't do the work you planned.

To turn back for a new piece of equipment means you will lose four days from your schedule. It costs $20,000 a day for the ship.

Not to turn back means you will lose a crucial portion of the scientific data you need.

Oceanographer Will Sager faced this decision while on his way to map the Shatsky Rise one summer.

"We had to hurry to get out of port because of the weather conditions," he said. "There were hurricane warnings in effect, so we had two days to prepare in Hawaii before we left. As a result, we didn't get to test all the equipment."

Sager says the magnetometer is dragged on a long cable behind the ship, taking magnetic readings as the vessel moves. The crew didn't get around to checking whether it worked until two days into the voyage, having spent those two days catching up on all the other work that normally would have been done before leaving port.

When the problem was discovered, there was a huge decision to make.

"Not going back would mean a lot of the scientists hanging around for some time with not much to do, and we would lose a lot of the information we were going there to get," Sager says. "Going back would mean we'd lose more than just time and money. We'd also have to rearrange our timetables, which were very precise, and lose some of the science somewhere."

What would you do?

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